Global Outlook

Curated expert opinion on intractable contemporary issues

The US: Good at Starting but Bad at Ending Wars

By John Delury  |  17 March, 2026

As the geopolitical centre of gravity swings violently back to the Middle East, the Asia Pacific seems to have slipped back into the shadows of global media attention. But observers here are anxiously trying to figure out what the Iran War means for the region. If history is any guide, we are just at the beginning of Donald Trump’s ‘little excursion’, and US allies and adversaries should be preparing for a long haul. Removing weapons from Korea, deploying troops from Japan, and delaying a summit in China are just the tip of the iceberg.

When the Guardrails Come Off

By Jordan Ryan  |  11 March, 2026

In January 2026, Dario Amodei, chief executive of Anthropic, one of America’s leading artificial intelligence companies and until recently the Pentagon’s most widely deployed AI provider, warned that sufficiently capable artificial intelligence (AI) could allow a government to generate “a complete list of anyone who disagrees with the government on any number of issues, even if such disagreement isn’t explicit in anything they say or do.”

Trump’s China Trip: Aiming for Deliverables

By Zhiqun Zhu  |  09 March, 2026

Despite the US’s ongoing “Operation Epic Fury” against Iran and its earlier kidnapping of Venezuelan leader Maduro, which have crippled the international order, preparations are underway for President Trump’s scheduled trip to China from March 31 to April 2, 2026.

Failure of US–Iran Talks Was All Too Predictable — But Turning to Military Strikes Creates Dangerous Unknowns

By Nina Srinivasan Rathbun  |  05 March, 2026

Three rounds of nuclear talks between the US and Iran failed to persuade President Donald Trump that a solution to the two countries’ nuclear impasse lay in diplomacy, rather than military action.

Tehran, Caracas... Why Not Pyongyang?

By John Delury  |  03 March, 2026

The United Nations is being defunded in the middle of a crisis it was built to prevent.

The UN's Moment of Truth

By Jordan Ryan  |  03 March, 2026

The United Nations is being defunded in the middle of a crisis it was built to prevent.

The views and opinions expressed in Global Outlook are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Toda Peace Institute.