Publications and Resources
Toda has published numerous Policy Briefs and Reports, as well as books and journals, over the last twenty years. See below for the publications in each thematic area. Guidelines for authors can be found here.
See the full list of Policy Briefs and Reports or view Policy Briefs and Reports by Research Theme:
Peace and Security in Northeast Asia
Endless Strife in Kashmir: Concepts on How Not to Resolve Conflict
Report No.237 - August, 2025 • By Herbert Wulf
This report analyses the origins of the conflicts between India and Pakistan, and traces the different phases of wars, terrorist attacks, and the diplomatic rapprochements that repeatedly failed. The military potentials of the opponent are compared and the author asks what the future might look like after the recent military confrontations. The countless efforts to resolve the conflict, both bilaterally between the two hostile neighbours and internationally, have repeatedly failed for almost 80 years. The attempt to find a way out of the impasse with confidence-building measures also failed. The persistent tensions in the Kashmir Valley serve as a reminder of how some conflicts remain unresolved despite repeated attempts at negotiation and intervention.
The Return of President Trump and Its Implications for South America
Report No.236 - July, 2025 • By Daniela Campello
This report outlines the significant threat to democratic governance in Latin America posed by Trump’s renewed presidency. His attacks on the rule of law and alignment with authoritarian leaders have emboldened regional allies to weaken oversight institutions, concentrate power, and target vulnerable groups. As US soft power declines and China offers economic engagement without democratic conditions, the region faces growing risks of institutional erosion, deepening polarization both within and between countries, and rising political instability.
Peace and Security in Northeast Asia
Clash of Dreams, Clash of Identities: Taiwan Between Deterrence and Reassurance
Policy Brief No.235 - July, 2025 • By Zheng Wang
This Policy Brief argues that the conflict over Taiwan’s status is not primarily driven by geopolitics or considerations for power. It is a struggle between rivalling national identities, reinforced by compelling historical narratives. This means that peace cannot be preserved by just mutual deterrence. Strategic reassurance, with a basis in respect for each other’s identity, may provide the key to preventing escalation to armed conflict. Reassurance complements deterrence by addressing the underlying identity fears. It sends the message that China’s national rejuvenation, Taiwan’s democratic survival, and US global leadership can all be maintained without war. Strategic reassurance reduces the existential cost of restraint, making compromise and coexistence politically and psychologically feasible.
From Backsliding to Recalibration? Trump 2.0 and Democracy in the Philippines
Report No.234 - July, 2025 • By Aries A. Arugay
This report analyses the three-fold impact of the Trump 2.0 presidency on Philippine domestic politics, economic sectors, and foreign policy. It argues that Trump’s restoration could reinforce authoritarian tendencies in the Philippines, undermine its economic resilience amid shifting global trade regimes and increasing economic coercion from China, and constrain its capacity for strategic autonomy within a highly volatile, uncertain, and complex international order.
The Gutting of Palestine
Report No.233 - July, 2025 • By Larbi Sadiki and Layla Saleh
This report outlines the paradoxical situation that Gaza finds itself in, at once in the worst position since 1948 with no political clout yet with unparalleled global expressions of solidarity. With geopolitical deadlock and the widening of the conflict, prospects of an end to Israel’s destruction of Gaza are as distant as ever. But momentum for a ceasefire, and even statehood, would likely be stronger were Palestinian political factions not themselves still divided.
Books (1996-2017)
Toda Peace Institute's Publications: Complimentary copies of our publications are available where noted.
Journals (1996-2017)
Peace & Policy: Since 1996, Peace & Policy has become a significant journal of opinion on global peace and policy issues.