Global Outlook

Curated expert opinion on intractable contemporary issues

How to Agree an Armistice in Ukraine: Lessons from Korea

By Stein Tønnesson  |  12 March, 2025

The armistice agreement that ended the Korean War in 1953 has been mentioned as a possible model for how to end the fighting in Ukraine. This makes sense. The Trump administration, however, seems to opt for a quick deal combining “ceasefires in place” with vain prospects of subsequently reaching a genuine peace agreement.

Gaza Ceasefire: Crunch Time for the Protagonists and Their Backers

By Amin Saikal  |  10 March, 2025

The Gaza ceasefire is faltering, as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is determined to wipe out Hamas and US President Donald Trump is keen to turn Gaza into a Middle Eastern Riviera.

Korea Will Soon Face a Security Dilemma Like Europe’s

By Chung-in Moon  |  03 March, 2025

There are concerns that Europe could be left on the sidelines if Trump forges a strategic partnership with Russia to help the US manage its rivalry with China. Korea will soon confront the same security dilemma Europe currently faces

First Vietnam, Then Afghanistan: Is Ukraine Next?

By Bashir Mobasher  |  26 February, 2025

With U.S. and Russian leaders engaged in direct talks in Saudi Arabia over the future of the conflict, many are left wondering whether the Ukraine crisis could become another Afghanistan or Vietnam

Trump’s First Month: Flooding the Zone

By Robert R. Kaufman  |  24 February, 2025

In the first thirty days of his second presidential term, Donald Trump and his associates have been engaged in what some have described as a slow-moving political coup. The incoming president has undertaken what amounts to a full-scale attack on institutional checks and balances and on civil and political rights.

Climate Impacts Are Forcing People From Their Homes. When, How and Why Do They Have Valid Refugee Claims?

By Jane McAdam  |  12 February, 2025

For a long time, it seemed refugee law had little relevance to people fleeing the impacts of climate change and disasters. Now, we have a much more nuanced understanding of things. Refugee law (and complementary protection under human rights law) do have a role to play in assessing the claims of people affected by climate change.

The views and opinions expressed in Global Outlook are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Toda Peace Institute.