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Policy Briefs and Reports

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Latest Policy Briefs and Reports

Peace and Security in Northeast Asia

Thinking the Unthinkable: An East Asia without the US?

Report  No.262 - December, 2025 • By Moon Chung-in

This report examines the relative decline of American power and status in East Asia, through a South Korean perspective. An ‘East Asia without the United States’ was once unthinkable because the American economic and military presence in the region was so dominant and beneficial to many of its countries. Hence, intellectuals in East Asian countries have begun to broaden their views on the matter and craft new narratives about America’s role in the area. This work addresses the convoluted dynamics that arise from this changing role of the world’s foremost superpower.

Peace and Security in Northeast Asia

Building Mutual Reassurance on the Korean Peninsula: Coordinating Japan, ROK, and US Approaches to North Korea's Nuclear Challenge

Policy Brief  No.261 - December, 2025 • By Nishino Junya

This report addresses the denuclearization of North Korea which remains an indispensable objective not only for Japan but for the entire international community. Complete denuclearization has become a long-term goal rather than an immediately achievable outcome. The international community must simultaneously prevent North Korea from further expanding its nuclear arsenal and ensure that these weapons are never used. This dual approach—pursuing denuclearization while managing immediate nuclear risks—requires careful coordination among Japan, the Republic of Korea (ROK), and the United States.

Party Like Mamdani

Report  No.260 - November, 2025 • By Debasish Roy Chowdhury

This report discusses the important lessons that the New York mayor-elect’s campaign masterclass has for India’s flailing democracy, particularly its ineffectual opposition parties that have failed to mount any meaningful pushback against Modi’s monopoly over power in more than a decade. Indian-born Zohran Mamdani’s victory speech laced with quotes of India’s first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru and Bollywood music has added to the buzz, but his desi connection is not the only reason why Mamdani resonates across three oceans.

Peace and Security in Northeast Asia

Reassurance on the Korean Peninsula: Lessons from Scholarship to Stabilize Deterrence

Policy Brief  No.259 - November, 2025 • By Reid Pauly

This policy brief reviews the lessons of academic scholarship on deterrence and assurance in order to unpack how and why tools of assurance work. In pursuit of stable deterrence on the Korean Peninsula, all parties ought to be reassuring one another. While there are trade-offs between communicating deterrence and reassuring adversaries, both are necessary for a stable relationship and reducing the probability of crisis or war. First, I offer definitions for key terms. Second, I review scholarly findings on credible communication and signalling. Third, I apply theory to the policy problem of stabilizing the Korean Peninsula.

Climate Change and Conflict

Climate, Peace, and Partnership: Insights from Germany for Bridging Climate–Security Gaps at COP30

Report  No.258 - November, 2025 • By Janani Vivekananda and Josephine Collier

This report examines the climate–security nexus through the lens of Germany’s experience, offering insights that are increasingly relevant to global responses. It synthesizes findings from Germany’s National Interdisciplinary Climate Risk Assessment which categorizes climate risks into direct, global, and systemic impacts. The paper also looks toward the future, exploring how insights from the assessment can contribute to discussions at the upcoming COP30. By aligning their efforts, countries can strengthen resilience, foster equitable development, and advance a global response to the intertwined crises of climate and security. In a world where environmental risks transcend borders, this dialogue is not just relevant—it is essential.