Global Challenges to Democracy
Casting a Long Shadow: Trump 2.0’s Impact on Aotearoa New Zealand
Report No.241 - August, 2025 • By Kevin P, Clements
This report examines the alarm felt in Aotearoa New Zealand during the first seven months of the second Trump administration as an autocratic President has managed to undermine basic democratic values and institutions, show open disdain for multilateral organisations, and do harm to global trade through his tariff policy. These developments challenge New Zealand’s deeply held political principles and values as well as a long tradition of empathetic and compassionate politics. This is a moment for co-operation rather than competition, and for building solidarity between progressive social democratic movements and polities all around the world.
Global Challenges to Democracy
Is Trump Adding to the Backsliding of the ‘World’s Biggest Democracy’?
Report No.240 - August, 2025 • By Debasish Roy Chowdhury
This report examines the consequences for India of a second Trump presidential term. With his steep tariffs and cheap insults, Trump has eroded a decades-old Indian public consensus of a pro-America policy and revived old animosities towards the US. If an estranged India’s strategic engagement with America and the democratic world loosens, it can only be more bad news for its troubled democracy. Not that America has ever seemed to care about Modi’s assaults on democracy, or he, about its sensitivities.
Global Challenges to Democracy
The Sultanization of US Politics
Report No.238 - August, 2025 • By Wolfgang Merkel
This report examines the terminology applied to the second presidency of Donald Trump. It has been called ‘fascist’, a ‘descent into fascism’ or a ‘revolutionary government in the form of an imperial court’. The US itself has been described as a ‘flawed democracy’. What are the arguments for describing Trump's USA as a plutocracy or fascism? Don't we rather see the bizarre features of a form of rule described one hundred years ago by the German sociologist Max Weber as patrimonial, or more precisely, sultanistic?
Global Challenges to Democracy
The Return of President Trump and Its Implications for South America
Report No.236 - July, 2025 • By Daniela Campello
This report outlines the significant threat to democratic governance in Latin America posed by Trump’s renewed presidency. His attacks on the rule of law and alignment with authoritarian leaders have emboldened regional allies to weaken oversight institutions, concentrate power, and target vulnerable groups. As US soft power declines and China offers economic engagement without democratic conditions, the region faces growing risks of institutional erosion, deepening polarization both within and between countries, and rising political instability.
Global Challenges to Democracy
From Backsliding to Recalibration? Trump 2.0 and Democracy in the Philippines
Report No.234 - July, 2025 • By Aries A. Arugay
This report analyses the three-fold impact of the Trump 2.0 presidency on Philippine domestic politics, economic sectors, and foreign policy. It argues that Trump’s restoration could reinforce authoritarian tendencies in the Philippines, undermine its economic resilience amid shifting global trade regimes and increasing economic coercion from China, and constrain its capacity for strategic autonomy within a highly volatile, uncertain, and complex international order.