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Impact of Trump 2.0 on Global Democracy

Impact of Trump 2.0 on Global Democracy

Image: Heidi Besen / Shutterstock

Since regaining the presidency in 2025, Donald Trump and his allies have launched a devastating attack on American democracy.   The targets of this attack are the checks and balances, and the civil and political rights that have provided the foundations of our constitutional system for over two centuries.  It is clear that the threat he poses to democracy in the United States is far more severe than they were in his first term. During his first term (2017–2021), Trump succeeded in eroding deeply held norms of political discourse and practice, but U.S. political and constitutional institutions remained more or less intact.  Challenges to the democratic system—including on January 6—were contained by congressional opposition, by the courts, by the press, and by civil society—as well as by opponents within the Republican party itself.  During the second term, constitutional institutions have come under a much more devastating attack by a far more unified presidential elite. 


Policy Brief and Reports

The US in 2024: An Election That Worked and a Democracy That Doesn’t

December 24, 2024

The US in 2024: An Election That Worked and a Democracy That Doesn’t

Heidi and Guy Burgess

This policy brief examines the divisive, hyper-polarized, us-or-them way politics is viewed in the United States. One test of a democracy is whether or not the voters get to choose their leaders. While, at this…

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Democratic Resilience in the United States: Containing Trump’s Threat to Democracy?

July 4, 2025

Democratic Resilience in the United States: Containing Trump’s Threat to Democracy?

Robert R. Kaufman

This report provides a comparative perspective on two crucial questions. First, what are the possibilities that the United States might devolve into what political scientists have called a ‘competitive authoritarian regime’—one in which the façade…

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‘Trump-ed’ Democratic Ideals in Arab–US Relations: ‘Democracy Promotion in Reverse’?

July 7, 2025

‘Trump-ed’ Democratic Ideals in Arab–US Relations: ‘Democracy Promotion in Reverse’?

Larbi Sadiki

This report discusses the rise of transactionalism in the Gulf states' relations with the US, which is set not only to sideline democratic principles, norms, and institutions within Gulf polities, but also within the wider…

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America’s Retreat and the Future of Economic Multilateralism

July 11, 2025

America’s Retreat and the Future of Economic Multilateralism

Jordan Ryan

This policy brief discusses the systematic retreat of the United States from multilateral institutions which threatens global economic reform, coinciding with China's construction of alternative frameworks and rising great-power bilateralism. This leads to a growing…

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Democracy in the 21st Century: Fragility and Resilience

July 14, 2025

Democracy in the 21st Century: Fragility and Resilience

Apolline Foedit

This report summarizes the key discussions and outcomes of the 2025 annual meeting of the Toda Peace Institute’s Global Challenges to Democracy Working Group, held in Geneva on 5–6 June in collaboration with the Centre…

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The Return of President Trump and Its Implications for South America

July 29, 2025

The Return of President Trump and Its Implications for South America

Daniela Campello

This report outlines the significant threat to democratic governance in Latin America posed by Trump’s renewed presidency. His attacks on the rule of law and alignment with authoritarian leaders have emboldened regional allies to weaken…

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The Sultanization of US Politics

August 4, 2025

The Sultanization of US Politics

Wolfgang Merkel

This report examines the terminology applied to the second presidency of Donald Trump. It has been called ‘fascist’, a ‘descent into fascism’ or a ‘revolutionary government in the form of an imperial court’. The US…

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Is Trump Adding to the Backsliding of the ‘World’s Biggest Democracy’?

August 13, 2025

Is Trump Adding to the Backsliding of the ‘World’s Biggest Democracy’?

Debasish Roy Chowdhury

This report examines the consequences for India of a second Trump presidential term. With his steep tariffs and cheap insults, Trump has eroded a decades-old Indian public consensus of a pro-America policy and revived old…

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Casting a Long Shadow: Trump 2.0’s Impact on Aotearoa New Zealand

August 19, 2025

Casting a Long Shadow: Trump 2.0’s Impact on Aotearoa New Zealand

Kevin Clements

This report examines the alarm felt in Aotearoa New Zealand during the first seven months of the second Trump administration as an autocratic President has managed to undermine basic democratic values and institutions, show open…

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Weaponisation of Law: Assault on Democracy

October 13, 2025

Weaponisation of Law: Assault on Democracy

Jordan Ryan

This policy brief examines the growing instrumentalisation of legal and administrative mechanisms to target and suppress civil society organisations. Drawing on recent developments in the United States and global patterns of democratic backsliding, it explores…

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