Curated expert opinion on intractable contemporary issues

Global Outlook: Contemporary Peace Research and Practice

At the Global Top Table. Will 2023 Be India's Year?

By Herbert Wulf  |  18 January, 2023

Three developments contribute to the fact that 2023 could indeed become India's global political year: India's chairmanship of the G20 countries, interestingly its role in the war in Ukraine, and the increasingly widespread critical view of China.

Fraught Shift From ‘Asia-Pacific’ To ‘Indo-Pacific’

By Chung-in Moon  |  08 January, 2023

How to de-risk a lexical change that represents dangerous trends: fragmentation, decoupling and confrontation.

The Age of Intersecting Crises?

By Tobias Ide  |  05 December, 2022

When following the news over the past three years, one might get the impression that the world is living through a permanent state of crisis. While climate change is arguably the most important challenge of our time, headlines were frequently dominated by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of the Ukraine, and more recently skyrocketing energy and food prices.

Strategic Dilemma: Germany in Search of an Effective China Strategy

By Herbert Wulf  |  24 November, 2022

German-Chinese relations are currently being reassessed in Germany. The shock of Germany's dependence on Russian gas, coal and oil supplies has made relations with China particularly sensitive. Germany is not only highly dependent on Russian raw materials and fossil fuels but is also economically more closely interlinked with China: China ranks second in Germany's exports and number one in imports. But is it possible to reduce economic dependency at all and how far should a possible decoupling go?

Has the Iranian Regime Reached the End of its Rope?

By Amin Saikal  |  27 October, 2022

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has blamed the West for fomenting the widespread unrest that has rocked Iran over the past few weeks. But his claim is no longer heeded. The ranks of the protestors have swelled despite the authorities’ forceful crackdown. The Islamic regime faces its worst legitimacy crisis since its advent in the wake of the revolution of 1978–79 that toppled the pro-Western autocracy of Mohammad Reza Shah.

Al-Qaeda, the Taliban and the Tragedy of Afghanistan

By Amin Saikal  |  10 September, 2022

As the world marks the anniversary of the 9/11 terror attacks this weekend, two other events should be remembered. Afghan commander Ahmad Shah Massoud was assassinated on 9 September 2001 by al-Qaeda agents, two days before the attacks on New York and Washington. Massoud had fought Soviet forces in Afghanistan in the 1980s and the Taliban and al-Qaeda alliance in the following decade. The other event in this bleak trio is the Taliban’s reassumption of power in the wake of the US and allied retreat from Afghanistan a year ago. Together they explain the mess that is Afghanistan today.

The views and opinions expressed in Global Outlook are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Toda Peace Institute.