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Latest Policy Briefs and Reports
Peace and Security in Northeast Asia
A New Korean War Is Not Imminent - Accidental Escalation Might Be
Policy Brief No.185 - February, 2024 • By Chung-in Moon
This Policy Brief discusses the security situation in the Korean peninsula which is going from bad to worse. However, despite bellicose words, changes in military doctrine and posture, and harsh verbal exchanges, “war by a premeditated plan” is not imminent. What is troubling is the potential for accidental military clashes between the two Koreas and the escalation into a limited or full-blown conflict involving nuclear weapons. A sequence of accidental clashes, crisis escalation, and war might appear rational at each incremental step until the conflict spirals entirely out of control. Such a sequence must be avoided at any cost. What measures are needed?
The Many Wars of Malaysia’s Anwar Ibrahim
Policy Brief No.184 - February, 2024 • By Debasish Roy Chowdhury
This Policy Brief examines the rise to power of Malaysia’s Anwar Ibrahim – a story of political perseverance and hope with few parallels – and how he has fared in handling the Southeast Asian country's many challenges in his first year in office. A rare intellectual-politician, his career has careened from street protests to the centre of power, back to street protests, incarceration, custodial torture, repression, then slow progression back to high politics, and eventually the apex of political power. Becoming the fifth prime minister in as many years in 2022, stability has been his priority, complicating his dual task of revving up the economy and battling the ever-lengthening shadow of Islamist conservatism over Malaysia. Anwar’s report card after a year is hence a mixed bag of some hits and many misses amid abounding constraints.
Cooperative Security, Arms Control and Disarmament
Ten Take-Aways on Russia’s War and Five Ideas for the Future of Ukraine and Beyond
Policy Brief No.183 - February, 2024 • By Herbert Wulf
This Policy Brief discusses the Ukraine war which is now entering its tenth year. Two years ago, President Vladimir Putin announced the so-called “special military operation”. There is no end in sight. To end suffering and destruction it is necessary to think about pathways to peace. How to end the war or at least achieve a ceasefire? What are the most important results of this war so far? Here are the ten key results of the war and five ideas for a possible way out.
Contemporary Peace Research and Practice
Israel and Gaza: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow
Policy Brief No.182 - January, 2024 • By Ramesh Thakur
This Policy Brief looks at the events of and since 7 October 2023 ‘in context’. The paper agrees with the Israeli claim that the destruction of the military threat posed by Hamas and the dismantling of the Hamas political structures are a necessary condition for re-establishing some sort of a peace in the Israel-Palestine conflict. However, it argues that to move beyond yet another armed truce until the next incident that provokes yet another even more brutal round of fighting is unacceptable. Israelis too must rein in the ideological extremists in their midst who dehumanise and ‘Other’ all Palestinians. They must dismantle some settlements in occupied territory, and engage in good faith negotiations that will entail some painful sacrifices in order to create a substantial stake for Palestinians in preserving their own state rather than aiming to destroy the state of Israel.
Social Media, Technology and Peacebuilding
Technology-Facilitated Gender-Based Violence and Democracy
Policy Brief No.181 - December, 2023 • By Katerina Standish
This policy brief examines the way that women are disproportionately affected by online harassment, cyberstalking, and other forms of online abuse, and the effect this can have on democratic participation. Women play a crucial role in sustaining and enhancing democratic societies. Research shows that women’s political participation in fostering a cohesive and nonviolent community is integral to sustainable peace. However, women directly involved in social and political discourse are targeted and harassed both online and off. This policy brief details examples of misogyny on line and highlights targeted strategies for countering this phenomenon.