Policy Briefs and Reports Books Journals

Global Challenges to Democracy Report  No.227

Report No.227: Democratic Resilience in the United States: Containing Trump’s Threat to Democracy?

Robert R. Kaufman

July 04, 2025

Image: Fotogrin/shutterstock.com

This report provides a comparative perspective on two crucial questions. First, what are the possibilities that the United States might devolve into what political scientists have called a ‘competitive authoritarian regime’—one in which the façade of democratic institutions obscures the reality of political power that cannot be held to account by either constitutional checks-and-balances or by the electorate itself? Second, to what extent can its institutions recover from the damage incurred under Trump 2.0? Few, if any, ‘recovering’ backsliders have regained the level of democratic quality they had achieved prior to the backsliding episode. A likely scenario is one in which a post-Trump democracy would emerge significantly weaker than it was before.