Curated expert opinion on intractable contemporary issues

Global Outlook: Cooperative Security, Arms Control and Disarmament

AUKUS Commits Australia To Fight China If America Does, Simple

By Hugh White  |  03 April, 2023

Whatever the flag, Washington would not sell nuclear-powered boats unless it could count on them in war over Taiwan.

The Limits of Beijing’s Middle East Diplomacy

By Amin Saikal  |  28 March, 2023

In China-brokered talks, the two oil-rich and rival states of Iran and Saudi Arabia have agreed to restore diplomatic relations after a seven-year split. Although the two sides need much confidence-building, their rapprochement carries the potential to change the regional geopolitical landscape at the cost of concerns for policy hawks in the US and Israel.

Military Skirmishes in the Himalayas

By Herbert Wulf  |  21 March, 2023

In the shadow of two major geopolitical crises, the competition between China and the USA in the Pacific and the Ukraine war in Europe, a showdown between India and China is taking place in the Himalayas. The two most populous countries in the world have not been able to agree on a common border in the Himalayas for more than six decades. There are often dangerous military skirmishes, with the risk that the conflict will spiral out of control.

Chicken-Game

By Herbert Wulf  |  01 March, 2023

In the Ukraine war, both sides are escalating verbally and militarily. To achieve what? To de-escalate, win or freeze the war, create a strong position for negotiations? When is the time ripe for negotiations and are there proven conflict resolution patterns that are relevant for an end to the war?

High Hurdles on the Long Road to Ukraine Negotiations

By Günther Baechler  |  28 February, 2023

Committed observers insist that the parties to the conflict sit down at the table immediately and resolve their dispute peacefully and by consensus. The problem is: if the conditions for a peaceful solution in a conflict system had already existed before the escalation, then the use of violence would not have occurred. If the conditions for dialogue are not in place before an escalation, they are usually even less so after the threshold of violence has been crossed.

Security Disorder: Is There a Way Out?

By Herbert Wulf  |  21 December, 2022

Is there a way out of the current constant political, economic and, above all, military escalation? Despite the seeming hopelessness of an end to the power struggle with Putin, despite the escalating situation in East Asia, despite the many wars and conflicts in Yemen, Syria, Mali etc., it is necessary to think about the possibilities for ending these wars on the security, political/diplomatic and economic levels.

The views and opinions expressed in Global Outlook are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Toda Peace Institute.